Wednesday, October 21, 2009

Carbon currencies: CO2e-White-Green and MDG-Certificates ... rfc SWOT

The CO2e-Certificate (AAU/EUA/CER/VER/ERU) market where this "currency" from the Low Carbon Economy is traded is near to worldwide.

Green-certificates obtained from producing green power is a very welcomed system too, kicked of by governments and taken up by the private sector from then on, and the number of countries applying it rises as it doesn't cost the Public Budget.  Imagine you could really make it as global as the CO2e-Certificates market... it would be a support for the projects that fail the additionality criterium under the "Kyoto Protocol".

White Certificates: "printed"/"generated" by energy-efficiency projects: insulation, low consumption bulbs, more efficient computers, ... actually we should start there: prevent we need power in the first place, recycle, reduce ... and then at the end we should invest in Windturbines/Photovoltaics etc.  If the leaders in all their wisdom that for strategical reasons it is important to first go ahead with PV/Wind etc. ... so be it.  But ... now the budgets get stricter... maybe this is the time to insert a new Low Carbon Economy currency: White Certificates ... I think the markets/private sector will catch up immediately with the system without the government having to spend money to kick-start it.

I can imagine in a year or so that if you want to participate in "Copenhaegen" or some big conference: you either pay in Fossile Economy Currency e.g. 1000 €/person or in Low Carbon Economy Currency: 100 € + 10 CO2e certificates + 10 Green Certificates + 20 White Certificates... if you live sustainbly in the Low Carbon Economy... you / the group to which you belong / the town you live in will produce these yourself.  Of course you have a right to pollute and then you just pay 1000 € for the entrance ticket to the fair.... and your assumed footprint will be offsetted for you.

Why not allow projects to "print"/"generate" Green and White ... and Millennium Development Goal certificates?

Request for participation in a SWOT please.
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Thursday, October 8, 2009

Low Carbon Economy: more than CO2e-Certificates ... hello white and green certificates.

Living in Brussels - Capital of Europe, but also Capital of the Largest Emission Trading System on the Planet,  embedded in a multi-disciplinary and international team and familiar with all what the IT has to offer concerning laptop working/destressing using new technology like GSM/GPS/automatic back-up systems preventing shocks from theft in those CO2e-Brics countries/working in multi-disciplinary and international teams in Virtual and Real World offices/the international environment/travelling worldwide occasionaly so it can be combined with family life and continuing the globe-trotting when meeting, inspiring and working with the local diaspora... I just love it.
It is clear where we're going with Post-Kyoto: a Low Carbon Economy, using grants, CO2e-Certificates, Green and White certificates and this not in a black-white world but a much more as the world is patchwork: poor to rich with 6 grades in between... and every grade you step-up - thanks a.o. to the massive movement of capital streams/eco-techs/etc. towards developing nations - the country will have to take up more and more obligations ... if they cannot offer CO2e-certificates to their investors because of additionality ... then Green and White certificate generation will be offered AND a one single market first OECD+Brics wide and then expanding World Wide.  I foresee this big steps every 2 months until 2012-2015-2020.  Those are the years of turning points to watch out for by the way for those involved in strategical planning and needing a time line.
By the way: Prehistory-...-Middle Ages - Fossile Fuel Economy era- Transition Economy - Low Carbon Economy and hopefully Sustainable World... we're now in that Transition Economy phase ... prepare for major changes... Panic... no... not if you do as you've learned: there's a time for working and a time to reflect... Strategical Plan .. evaluate ... improve ... ajust/adapt ... and think in the right scale: the economic actors responsible for 45 Trillion of the 65 Trillion $ worldGross Domestic Product will have to undergo a complete overhaul to come out again ... or not in the Low Carbon Economy.
So get your timing right, combine experienced people with people familiar with that Kyoto Protocol stuff, put your plans next to the Plan of Action set-out by the worlds finest = Agenda 21 and Millennium Development Goals, watch the IPCC, read the UN they give the relevant news, next to the Carbon "Gazettes" and be able to detect when you're thinking Fossile Fuel Economy speed/size and allow the group to think at the market size: 45/65 Trillion $, 100 billion $ CO2e-Certificate Trading, remember your basics: open space, embrace internet ... have your documents ready for signatures so you can do proper business and get the money flowing iso getting into fights, think small and big, here and there, in time, adapt your pitch.
And.. change your title to something with Agenda 21 / Low Carbon Economy Consultant or so.... and enjoy life as long as it is there.
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From "Kyoto Protocol Consultant" to "Low Carbon Economy Consultant"

Champagne was time for a strategical management session for myself ... preparing for Copenhagen and post Kyoto.
My reflections:
1. Agenda 21 = God... or just about. The Millennium Development Goals bring us closer to them ... thank God, thanks Agenda 21.
2. God ... how are people reluctant to change ... they don't see it ... even those with ISO14000-Strategical Planning / Business Plans written all over them ... how can they miss it... well.. all the better and more special and valuable I am :)
3. "Kyoto Protocol Consultants" suffer a bit from what IT-wizzards suffer/suffered/are kicking-off ... the IT sector and the "Kyoto Protocol" have parrallels: those who knew and managed to orgnise a team of I guess friends into a dedicated team ... made a fortune... leaving others amazed behind on how fast things evolved: it's automatisation ... ow no ... it's not only a computer ... it's internet ... it's cloud-computing ... it's facebook/xing/linked-in/ecademy/... d0 I need a blog ? Picasa, Wiki, Mailinglists, ... the smart ones had a merger incalculated ... others underwent a forced merger or dissapeared ... specialise or widen-up ? But an IT guy today ... that doesn't know what a wiki is ? That's pathetic.
4. A "Kyoto Protocol" Consultant ... was hot between 2005 till now ... if that person doesn't know what is Agenda 21, the Millennium Development Goals ... and cannot adapt and keep the overview, offer the ability to his customers of being able to offer a bird-view/broader perspective and at the same time is able to zoom in ... that person will dissapear - not immediately - but just as the IT-er who doesn't know wiki ... will become just another employee... first highly paid, and then more and more eroding.  Agenda 21 is the broader Plan of Action to embedd everyting, the Millennium Development Goals are the inspiring beacons... so are the messages coming out of the UN, IPCC and UNFCCC website/rss/radio.  That allows offering strategical forecasting, and in the inhouse academy the Kyoto Protocol consulting, i.e. mere calculations have to be transferred to new generations.

Conclusion: from today I don't market myself as "Kyoto Protocol Consulant" anymore, butalways mention these 3 in my pitch: "Kyoto Protocol/Agenda 21/Low Carbon Economy/ Consulant"... specialised in bringing additional shareholder/added value by mobilizing the immense money flows from the Low Carbon Economy to the Organisation."
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