Feb 2, 2010 - Nice:
Overview of CO2 concentration level, corresponding temperature increases and year that concentrations would need to peak to maintain specific concentration levels.
Can the good people just add 1 more column called "Estimated number of deaths"? Herewith an attempt, as far as I know the science:
CO2 concentration in ppm
(pre-industrial levels at 278 ppm; current levels at 380 ppm) | Global mean temperature increase in C above pre-industrial levels | Peaking year of CO2 / Number of death |
350 - 400
|
2.0 -2.4
|
2000 - 2015 / ± 20% of Humanity = 1,2 billion people and 60% of Biodiversity
|
400 - 440
|
2.4 - 2.8
|
2000 - 2020 / 2 billion people and about 70% of Biodiversity
|
440 - 485
|
2.8 - 3.2
|
2010 - 2030 / 2,5 billion people and about 90% of Biodiversity
|
485 - 570
|
3.2 - 4.0
|
2020 - 2060 / 99% of the billion people still left are death and Biodiversity stands at about -120% below zero
|
570 - 660
|
4.0 - 4.9
|
2050 - 2080 / about 0% human additional casualties and +100% of about 1 type of bacteria. The bacteria is still underway on a meteorite from ... Mars.
|
It's life... but not as we know it !
It's called "Climate Change", "Low Carbon Economy", ok Scotty? And if it has a name it's ok, okay?
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Reaction: OK, Mr AERTS, we get the point. So when do we have to reach peak temperature for average temperature increase = 0°C by 2020-2050?
Reply: 1990
Reaction: But Mr AERTS, that's in the past and way beyond us?
Reply: Budget for working on a time machine under Climate Change Adaptation = 0 €.
Reaction: Additional info we're now 2013-may and just as there's another round of climate talks by the world leaders in Bonn, news reached from the measuring stations that we've passed the 400 ppm for the first time in 3 million years.
Reply: It's been reached it a couple of years earlier than we thought in 1990 and 2005. We thought we would have a 2 ppm increase/year, reality teaches us we're increasing by 3 ppm/yr. Average sea level rise will be: 0.5 – 1.7 meters.
Reaction: Climate change victims versus how many people died in the 2nd World War?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_War_II_casualties
Answer: Over 60 million people.
How many people will die with 400 ppm CO2e concentrations = 2.4 - 2.8 °C equivalent additional energy in the Earth's system?
Answer: 2 billion people and about 70% of Biodiversity loss.
Reaction: "The only question now is whether the relentless rise in carbon can be matched by a relentless rise in the activism and carbon money necessary to stop it."
